Archive for the 'Thoughts' Category

Climate Change ‘to boost food bugs’

4th 2006f January, 2006, Jez

Professor Paul Hunter of The University of East Anglia has warned that warm weather [will] ‘boost food bugs’.
He predicts that cultural changes brought on by rising global temperatures, such as an increase in people having barbeques, will increase the risks of various diseases - in particular those found in food. He also warns that [...]

Carbon Dioxide highest for 650,000 years

25th 2005f November, 2005, Jez

As reported in a BBC article, current levels of both Carbon Dioxide and Methane are the highest they’ve been in 650 millenia.
The European Project for Ice Coring in Antarctica (Epica) drilled 3¼km into an Antarctic region called Dome Concordia, retrieving samples which contain trapped air from the time the ice formed.
“One of the most important [...]

Forecasting CER Prices

18th 2005f November, 2005, Peter

How should a company go about forecasting prices of Carbon Emission Rights (CERs)? If this was a traditional commodities market, such as coffee or oil, there would be lots of past data one could use, along with experience about the factors likely to influence demand and supply, and hence market prices. For many [...]

Weather Insurance

3rd 2005f October, 2005, Peter

The Economist magazine this week has an article on hedging against the weather and against catastrophic events: Natural hedge: Interest grows in financial instruments to offset swings in the weather, The Economist, 2005-09-29. (Subscription may be required).
Two types of contracts are described:

Weather derivatives, used by companies to counteract the financial effects of [...]